It is not everyday that my Dividend Stock Tracker, tracking popular Singapore High Yielding Stocks showed severe negative prices.
And that includes my experience in 2007-2008.
There would always be some stocks that are positive or no change. This is unprecedented.
While we do not know the main reason, Japan 10 year bond yields edge above 1%. That psychological point could mean that higher borrowing costs are coming in the near future.
As a result the carry trade (which I thought was pretty dead) hit a snag.
Here are some charts of drastic price drawdowns:
Aims Amp Industrial Capital
While volume is not as high as the rest, it is still startling to see a 1 day 5% drop in a long time. My recent hypothesis is that this rally have all been a case of yield compression.
Hot money search for higher yields at higher risk assets.
This movement shows how a large part of the shares look to be in speculative holdings.
Cambridge Industrial REIT
At one point it went all the way back by 20 cent which is like a 25% fall. Fat fingers? Volume is high.
Even one of the largest and oldest REIT isn’t spare. More and more like a foreign fund flows out
I got to be honest I wanted to punt this stock. Fortunately I didn’t. Else I would have been caught in this.
One of the stocks shown here with a double top. Price target $1.44?
Frasers Commercial Trust
One of the stocks that I missed, which I really should do it at $1. Perhaps rather good management and a 6.2% yield. Gearing is high but a lot of Freehold and 999 year lease properties.
Frasers Centerpoint Trust
Another trust from Frasers. The price is 14% above my average price. As with Frasers Commercial, these are priorities.
One of the last REIT to run. Recently took a liking of its management as well as their development deal for the Equinix data center.
Still the worry here is that if you read the latest quarter report for a lot of companies, they seem to be moving out of Singapore.
One industrial REIT with a similar profile to Aims Amp but for Sabana the volume is huge!
We can’t tell if this is due to the market being temporary spooked by Fed Speak or due to what was mentioned above. If its due to the open mouth committee, then they just need the right words to set prices back. This is a non event.
I notice many folks due to low fixed deposit rates decide to chase yield. If you think current price provides you a good required rate of return yet you are not overpaying for it (based on PTB, DCF) then this should be an issue.
You may be stuck in this, and 2 years later you may learn the lesson that even good yielding stocks are poor investment if you pay dear for it.
The important thing is to develop a much more conservative risk management and valuation determination.
At times like this, I written 2 timely articles on your game plan for it
Do read them to make sense of something like this:
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For my best articles on investing, growing money check out the resources section.
- The Dangers of Income Planning with a Fixed Inflation Rate (such as 3% p.a.) - September 25, 2023
- New 6-Month Singapore T-Bill Yield in Late-September 2023 Should Stick to 3.75% (for the Singaporean Savers) - September 21, 2023
- A Concentrated, High-Quality Fixed Income Financial Independence Income Strategy Has Enough Uncertainty - September 20, 2023