Presidential Cycles are seasonal cycles that many say it is just coincidence but put the quantitative data together here, you can’t say there isn’t a pattern there:
First chart is courtesy of All Star Charts JC Parets who warns that we are now entering the worse time of the presidential cycle.
This chart shows 48 months, starting from post presidential election, the second year of the presidential election, the pre-next election year and finally the next election year.
From this, statistically, the coming 1 year period tends to be lukewarm.
Another person that spots this was Tom McClellan (the son of the guy who found the McClellan indicator) In his case, this chart looks at the pattern for second term presidents. smaller sample set, but looks rather weak as well.
It looks like folks who are looking for a period to add some value stocks could have a window for operations.
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Kyith worked as an IT operations engineer from 2004 to 2019. Currently, he works as a Senior Solutions Specialist in Insurance Start-up Havend. All opinions on Investment Moats are his own and does not represent the views of Providend.
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