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Strategas on TINA, the New Sovereigns, ABENOMICs and US Energy Independence

Jason Trennert talks about some of their research they do at Strategas. A lot of very interesting ideas.

  • 4:15: TINA: There is no alternative to stocks: Difficult to find anything with yield
  • 6:05: This market can still go on for 2 more years, and the indicator to watch for is wage inflation whip is not very existence, without that there is no real inflation
  • 7:30: Valuation of different assets: Treasury 2.5%, you can support much higher asset prices.
  • 9:30: How risk are bonds. Long term outlook more risky since they are relatively more risky to historical
  • 10:30: What they are watching as inflation indicator
  • 11:40: The opportunities: MERGER and ACQUISITIONS. Cost of capital going up. Technology lots of cash. Activist movement. Japanese stocks based on ABENOMICS
  • 15:00: Why Japan might not be a false dawn this time
  • 15:40: New Sovereigns: The companies that are lower credit risk than government. 100 companies. Large fortress style. Exxon, JnJ, Microsoft..They are stocks that look like bonds
  • 17:50: Supply and demand of stocks are SHRINKING. 1997 – 8800 to 2013 – 5300 companies. Companies not going public. Growth in private equity
  • 20:20: The University Endowment Model and the individual investors
  • 23:20: US Energy Independence. This will bring manufacturing back to US
Kyith

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