To counteract the very negative call from Gary Shilling, we got a pro stock call.
Dan Fuss of Loomis Sayles & Co, is a legendary bond manager, who spends 50 years (yes 50!) of his career searching for bonds from all over the globe for distinguish niche Institutional Investors.
This guy, 76, whom we have not heard of has a stellar track record. He is not as well known as Bill Gross of Pimco, but among the well learned people take what he says into consideration.
What happens when someone who manages bonds all his career favors stocks instead?
Specifically he sees interest rates moving up, just not known at what speed. Move up fast and we have a hyper inflationary scenario, but a gradual move up could be good for equities.
The unemployment rate is going to be the main factor in when the Federal Reserve Bank starts to raise interest rates in earnest, Mr. Fuss said.
If the unemployment rate falls to between 6% and 7%, it’s likely that the Fed will stop buying up two-year Treasury notes and 30-year Treasury bonds, which has been keeping the interest rate on the 10-year Treasury bill artificially low, Mr. Fuss said.
“Once that happens, you need to get out of the market risk that’s in fixed-income and into the company-specific risk you can find in stocks,” he said.
[Read the full article here >>]
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Jim
Friday 13th of April 2012
Looks like he blew 50 years of his time. I know of people who could make fortunes within 5-10 years, from selling burgers to insurance, or just simply rising through the corporate ranks.
Drizzt
Friday 13th of April 2012
Jim this is his job but i am sure he is pretty good at it.
Matt
Friday 13th of April 2012
Quite a timing too when a major BB like Blackrock initiated a bond-trading division yesterday. (to bypass investment banks)
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303624004577338153082722544.html
Drizzt
Friday 13th of April 2012
hi matt what do you think are the implications?
Drizzt
Friday 13th of April 2012
well in the case of this news its rather unique. how can a bond fund take an equity position?
Createwealth8888
Friday 13th of April 2012
We will always hear BBs talking up and talking down after they may taken their positions.
We small boys just focus our money and portfolio management in reaching our own small goals.