Wasn’t gonna post something on Gold for this early morning. However, I saw the 5.37% move in the HUI on my Yahoo Stock widget, I have to check it out. Support at RSI and stochastic has been forming on the weekly charts. We may see a breakout from that huge triangle. The target? Might be some wheree close to 420.
Surprisingly i got a realli low score for trading.I would expect that given the numerous chances i had with doing the occasional trade, that would be higher. Oh Whatever. Its just another test.
The chart shows graphically how you rate as an Analyst, Trader and Actuary.
And it should be immediately clear which of those three styles you are most compatible with.
Your Analyst score is 70.00
The Analyst archetype is personified by Warren Buffett who carefully thinks through all the implications of an investment before putting a single dime on the table.
The Analyst may research an investment for months before making a final decision. He wants to understand as much as he can about any investment before he takes any action. But, the minute he DOES decide to act, he follows the 11th Winning Investment Habit and acts instantly.
Of course, not everyone who prefers the Analyst style invests like Warren Buffett. Far from it.
Every investment style that has, as one of its components, what is loosely called “fundamental analysis” requires the abilities of the Analyst. For example, the Trader who (like Soros) aims to profit from shifts in macroeconomic trends must devote a great deal of time to research so he can feel certain that the trades he enters will be profitable.
Similarly, the Trader who specializes in a few commodities or currencies; the arbitrageur; the investor who specializes in shorting stocks he considers overvalued…to be successful they must all have many of the qualities of the Analyst.
The only exception is the technical analyst or commodity trader who follows a pure Actuarial approach (see below). While this type of investor does not analyze any individual investment, he must, nevertheless, have some of the skills of the Analyst to research, develop, and hone his system.
If your Analyst score is less than 50% its important to improve your skills and abilities in this area.
Your Trader score is 23.33
The Trader archetype is epitomized by George Soros who can act primarily from unconscious competence what most people would call intuition.
The Trader can also act decisively, and instantly on incomplete information, trusting to his “feel for the market.”
One ability that sets the Trader apart is that he never hesitates. He is always prepared to take instant action, especially when the unexpected occurs.
He is also capable of comfortably handling situations that, for most people, would be sources of great stress.
If your Trader score is less than 40% youd be advised to avoid trading or speculating entirely.
You can invest successfully, even if you do not have the predisposition of a Trader, by steering clear of investment methods that require quick decisions and fast action.
Needless to say, regardless of your investment style there can be times when the skills of the Trader would come in very handy. So it would still pay you to improve your abilities in this area, even if your personal investment system isnt centered around trading.
One way is to improve the certainty with which you make investment decisions: then, when the time comes to act, your course of action will be clear and youll have little reason to hesitate.
Your Actuary score is 39.13
The Actuary archetype acts like an insurance company in reverse. An insurance company will write a large number of policies on a similar class of events. For example, the risk that your car will be involved in an accident.
The company has no idea whether your car will ever crash. And nor does it have any idea whether an individual vehicle will experience a minor dent, or be totally written off.
What the insurance company can calculate is the average probability of claims per thousand policies it has written. And provided it has priced its policies correctly, it can be sure of making a profit regardless of what happens to any individual automobile.
In the same way, the Actuarial investor has identified a class of investments that he knows — if he buys them at the right price — will make an overall profit, regardless of whether he suffers a loss on any individual investment. Like the insurance company, the Actuarial investors primary focus is on probabilities.
The legendary investor, Benjamin Graham, would only buy a stock at 35% to 50% of its liquidation (or breakup) value. Since he only investigated the numbers, and did not look at the management or the companys products in any detail, he had no way of knowing in advance whether any single stock he bought would be profitable.
But he did know that by purchasing a large number of such stocks at the right price, he would make money overall.
Like other Master Investors, Graham did not operate solely from this one perspective. Indeed, as the author of the classic investment books, Security Analysis and The Intelligent Investor, he is also known as a Master Analyst. Which indeed, he was. Thats how he identified the stocks he bought but his investment system was actuarial in nature.
The extreme example of an Actuarial investor is the commodity trader following a computerized trading system whose buy and sell instructions are generated and placed automatically by the computer.
His focus is not on any of his individual investments. He spends his time attempting to improve the reliability and profitability of his system.
One of the essential components for such an approach to be successful is a set of strict money management rules that limit the amount of your overall capital put at risk in any individual position to a small percentage of the entire portfolio. As a result, his portfolio will usually consist of a large number of individual investments.
If your Actuary score is less than 25% you would be advised to improve your understanding of probabilities and how they can be used in the investment world.The Master Investors like Warren Buffett, Carl Icahn and George Soros can each act from all of these styles. Nevertheless, they each have a clear predisposition for one particular style.
So, should you wish to be a great investor like them, youd be advised to master all three styles even though you will primarily act from just one of them.
If your ambitions are not quite so lofty, it will pay you to be clear about the style you prefer. And to choose an investment area thats compatible with it.
One of the secrets of the great investors success is that they develop investment methods that are compatible with their personality.
This survey will, we trust, help you focus on the kind of investments that are right for you.
A look at its 2004 and 2005 financial statement shows that VICOM is managing its cashflow efficiently. Its business can consistently generate operating cashflow after spending whatever they require on capital expenditure and investment in new ventures or additional of investment to its existing subsidiary.
In 2003, they attempt to secure a loan to fund their investment in an associate. We promptly see that in 2004 they managed to return most of these loans to reduce its debt level.
|Cash out of total assets|
|operating cashflow (times)|
|fixed asset turnover (times)|
|Free Cashflow yield|
|conservative free cashflow yield|
Its conservative free cashflow yield is in the region of 10%.however its div is closer to an average of 6%. This couple with a moderate profit margin and ROE makes this a worthwhile investment to look at.
However, the question is whether they can grow their sales further. To grow further, the management would have to explore whether they have fully tapped the singapore mkt, or they can venture overseas to increase their sales.
It looks like many forumers thinks hat VICOM is a good investment vehicle. This got my attention to check it out. Vicom is in the vehicle inspection business, with a few workshops situated all over singapore. I, for one personally dun drive, so i do not know why is there a need to inspect their vehicle. I would think that is regulatory.
A check on SGX reveal that its dividend payout goes back to 1996. Its payout is listed below:
1996 – 1.25 cents less tax
1997 – 2.75 cents less tax
1998 – 3 cents less tax
1999 – 3.75 cents less tax
2000 – 3 cents less tax
2001 – 5 cents less tax
2002 – 3.75 cents less tax
2003 – 4.25 cents less tax
2004 – 6.25 cents less tax
2005 – 5.75 cents less tax
2006 – 6.75 cents less tax
Although its div is not consistently increasing, it is nevertheless evaluation whether it can payout more to shareholders. We do notice that dividend cover is listed explicitly in the annual report. This may be how the management wants to market the company to the retail investor.
Alook up its historical price shows that its price range between 90 cents to 1 dollar for a long time. however, it experience a break up to 1.15 from jan 2006. Whatever the reason, i am not certain.
1) Cashflow analysis